I quit.
There is nothing I can do to get previous the depressing methods my NFL picks have been going this yr. I attempted to alter issues up a bit final week, and it acquired worse. I went 3-9-1 towards the unfold and 8-5 straight up. That brings my season ATS file to 90-114-4 and my straight-up file to 128-80.
I bear in mind a month in the past once I hoped to get my ATS file to .500. That ship seems prefer it has sailed. Heck, I’ll take a successful week proper now.
As one in every of my co-workers stated this week, “stop over-thinking it.” So that is what I did this week. Here’s hoping it will possibly flip issues round.
It’s too late for a lot celebrating this yr, however, please, I’m begging for one successful ATS week. Just one? Please.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Panthers are favored right here as they’ve performed nicely the previous few weeks. Bryce Young is getting higher. The query for Dallas is how targeted it will likely be after that powerful dwelling loss to the Bengals. I feel the Cowboys will probably be, and I feel Micah Parsons and the protection will play nicely.
Pick: Cowboys 20, Panthers 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Chiefs are taking part in for the highest seed, whereas the Browns are taking part in for his or her trip plans. That issues. The Chiefs have not seemed nice all season, however they discover methods to win video games. They will discover a means right here as Jameis Winston turns it over a couple of instances for point-blank scores. Chiefs win one other shut one.
Pick: Chiefs 21, Browns 19
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Texans are off a bye, whereas the Dolphins are coming off an additional time victory over the Jets. The Miami protection did not play nicely in that recreation, however I feel they bounce again right here. The Texans simply have not seemed proper on offense. Tua Tagovailoa leads Miami previous the Texans.
Pick: Dolphins 31, Texans 27
Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up greater than $7,000 on NFL picks since its inception, is fading Prisco and taking the Texans to cowl towards the Dolphins as a part of a five-team parlay. Check out the opposite 4 legs by heading over to SportsLine.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
This is the canine recreation of the day, however the Jaguars are coming off a victory, whereas the Jets misplaced at Miami in additional time. At least the Jets confirmed up in that one. The offense seemed respectable. I feel that may carry over as Aaron Rodgers and the Jets beat Mac Jones and the Jaguars.
Pick: Jets 24, Jaguars 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Commanders come off a bye, whereas the Saints are coming off a victory over the Giants. But they are going to be possible be with out inured quarterback Derek Carr on this one. That’s powerful to beat. They will not be capable of towards a superb Commanders crew as Jayden Daniels is more healthy after the bye. Commanders take it.
Pick: Commanders 30, Saints 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Ravens are coming off a bye, whereas the Giants are taking part in out the string. The Giants do not do quite a bit on offense, which is an issue towards the Ravens. Lamar Jackson and his offensive group will rating a bunch right here towards a depleted Giants protection. Ravens massive.
Pick: Ravens 34, Giants 14
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Bengals are coming off a highway victory Monday night time at Dallas the place they performed higher on protection. We know Joe Burrow and the offense will rating right here. Can the Titans sustain? No. They scored six factors final week towards a foul Jacksonville protection. They will rating extra right here, however not sufficient to beat Burrow and gang.
Pick: Bengals 30, Titans 17
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Patriots are off a bye to play a crew that has misplaced three straight. Kyler Murray hasn’t performed nicely the previous three weeks, however that may change right here. The Arizona offense will get again on monitor because it will get a victory that may preserve it within the playoff chase.
Pick: Cardinals 28, Patriots 20
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is a gigantic recreation when it comes to the playoffs. Both groups are coming off a bye, so no edge there. The Broncos have the higher protection, which would be the distinction on this one. Look for them to show over Anthony Richardson as Bo Nix and the Denver offense performs the cleaner recreation. Broncos win it.
Pick: Broncos 22, Colts 16
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is the sport of the week, that includes two high-scoring offenses and two MVP candidates in Josh Allen and Jared Goff at quarterback. Both defenses have points, which ought to make this a shootout. The Bills are taking part in consecutive highway video games, which is not simple, however I feel they are going to discover a approach to pull off a small upset behind Allen.
Pick: Bills 37, Lions 35
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
This is an extended journey for the Bucs towards a superb crew coming off a loss. I feel Jim Harbaugh could have his group again targeted right here. Baker Mayfield is going through a tricky Chargers protection. The Chargers will get the most effective of that matchup as they get again on the successful monitor.
Pick: Chargers 27, Bucs 21
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The battle of Pennsylvania is between two bodily groups that get after it on each side of the ball. The Steelers do not run it in addition to Saquon Barkley and the Eagles, which would be the distinction on this one. Look for Barkley to guide the Eagles because the Philadelphia protection limits Russell Wilson.
Pick: Eagles 24, Steelers 17
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo strive without spending a dime)
This is a giant recreation for each groups. The Packers are coming off a Thursday night time loss on the highway towards the Lions, whereas the Seahawks are dwelling after successful two straight highway video games. The Seattle protection has actually performed nicely as of late, however it is a powerful offense to defend. Green Bay’s Jordan Love will get the most effective of that protection. Packers take it.
Pick: Packers 28, Seahawks 24
Bonus: SportsLine knowledgeable R.J. White, who’s on a 74-31-2 roll in video games involving Green Bay, is leaning beneath on this pivotal NFC showdown on “Sunday Night Football.” He’s extra assured in a single aspect protecting the unfold, and you may see who he is choosing at SportsLine.
Monday, 8 p.m. ET (ABC, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Bears are out on the highway for a second straight week after getting blasted by the 49ers. They did not play nicely. Minnesota is rolling. Sam Darnold is taking part in at a excessive degree, which I feel will proceed right here. The Vikings will throw a ton of seems at Caleb Williams, which is able to result in turnovers. It’s ugly.
Pick: Vikings 33, Bears 17
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, fubo strive without spending a dime)
There is a few uncertainty about Raiders quarterback Aidan O’Connell’s well being right here with a bone bruise. As for the Falcons, Kirk Cousins has been unhealthy the previous month and this will probably be a tricky spot to bounce again in for him — irrespective of who performs quarterback for the Raiders. I feel the Las Vegas protection will win this for the Raiders.
Pick: Raiders 21, Falcons 20
