I hand over.
There is nothing I can do to get previous the depressing methods my NFL picks have been going this yr. I attempted to vary issues up a bit final week, and it acquired worse. I went 3-9-1 in opposition to the unfold and 8-5 straight up. That brings my season ATS document to 90-114-4 and my straight-up document to 128-80.
I keep in mind a month in the past once I hoped to get my ATS document to .500. That ship seems to be prefer it has sailed. Heck, I’ll take a successful week proper now.
As one in every of my co-workers mentioned this week, “stop over-thinking it.” So that is what I did this week. Here’s hoping it could possibly flip issues round.
It’s too late for a lot celebrating this yr, however, please, I’m begging for one successful ATS week. Just one? Please.
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
This is a gigantic division sport for each groups. The loser is in large bother. The 49ers confirmed their delight final week in opposition to the Bears, whereas the Rams are coming off an enormous victory over the Bills. On a brief week, it is at all times robust to exit on the highway. The 49ers shall be prepared for this one. They take it behind a great displaying from Brock Purdy.
Pick: 49ers 28, Rams 23
Bonus: SportsLine professional Micah Roberts, who’s on a 26-6 roll betting San Francisco 49ers video games, disagrees with Prisco on the full of this sport, however what in regards to the unfold? Check out who Roberts is backing over at SportsLine.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo attempt without cost)
The Panthers are favored right here as they’ve performed effectively the previous few weeks. Bryce Young is getting higher. The query for Dallas is how targeted it will likely be after that robust dwelling loss to the Bengals. I believe the Cowboys shall be, and I believe Micah Parsons and the protection will play effectively.
Pick: Cowboys 20, Panthers 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Chiefs are taking part in for the highest seed, whereas the Browns are taking part in for his or her trip plans. That issues. The Chiefs have not seemed nice all season, however they discover methods to win video games. They will discover a manner right here as Jameis Winston turns it over just a few instances for point-blank scores. Chiefs win one other shut one.
Pick: Chiefs 21, Browns 19
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Texans are off a bye, whereas the Dolphins are coming off an extra time victory over the Jets. The Miami protection did not play effectively in that sport, however I believe they bounce again right here. The Texans simply have not seemed proper on offense. Tua Tagovailoa leads Miami previous the Texans.
Pick: Dolphins 31, Texans 27
Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up greater than $7,000 on NFL picks since its inception, is fading Prisco and taking the Texans to cowl in opposition to the Dolphins as a part of a five-team parlay. Check out the opposite 4 legs by heading over to SportsLine.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo attempt without cost)
This is the canine sport of the day, however the Jaguars are coming off a victory, whereas the Jets misplaced at Miami in extra time. At least the Jets confirmed up in that one. The offense seemed respectable. I believe that may carry over as Aaron Rodgers and the Jets beat Mac Jones and the Jaguars.
Pick: Jets 24, Jaguars 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo attempt without cost)
The Commanders come off a bye, whereas the Saints are coming off a victory over the Giants. But they are going to be probably be with out inured quarterback Derek Carr on this one. That’s robust to beat. They will not be capable to in opposition to a great Commanders crew as Jayden Daniels is more healthy after the bye. Commanders take it.
Pick: Commanders 30, Saints 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Ravens are coming off a bye, whereas the Giants are taking part in out the string. The Giants do not do quite a bit on offense, which is an issue in opposition to the Ravens. Lamar Jackson and his offensive group will rating a bunch right here in opposition to a depleted Giants protection. Ravens large.
Pick: Ravens 34, Giants 14
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo attempt without cost)
The Bengals are coming off a highway victory Monday night time at Dallas the place they performed higher on protection. We know Joe Burrow and the offense will rating right here. Can the Titans sustain? No. They scored six factors final week in opposition to a foul Jacksonville protection. They will rating extra right here, however not sufficient to beat Burrow and gang.
Pick: Bengals 30, Titans 17
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Patriots are off a bye to play a crew that has misplaced three straight. Kyler Murray hasn’t performed effectively the previous three weeks, however that may change right here. The Arizona offense will get again on observe because it will get a victory that may hold it within the playoff chase.
Pick: Cardinals 28, Patriots 20
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is a gigantic sport when it comes to the playoffs. Both groups are coming off a bye, so no edge there. The Broncos have the higher protection, which would be the distinction on this one. Look for them to show over Anthony Richardson as Bo Nix and the Denver offense performs the cleaner sport. Broncos win it.
Pick: Broncos 22, Colts 16
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is the sport of the week, that includes two high-scoring offenses and two MVP candidates in Josh Allen and Jared Goff at quarterback. Both defenses have points, which ought to make this a shootout. The Bills are taking part in consecutive highway video games, which is not simple, however I believe they may discover a technique to pull off a small upset behind Allen.
Pick: Bills 37, Lions 35
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo attempt without cost)
This is a protracted journey for the Bucs in opposition to a great crew coming off a loss. I believe Jim Harbaugh may have his group again targeted right here. Baker Mayfield is going through a tricky Chargers protection. The Chargers will get the perfect of that matchup as they get again on the successful observe.
Pick: Chargers 27, Bucs 21
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo attempt without cost)
The battle of Pennsylvania is between two bodily groups that get after it on either side of the ball. The Steelers do not run it in addition to Saquon Barkley and the Eagles, which would be the distinction on this one. Look for Barkley to guide the Eagles because the Philadelphia protection limits Russell Wilson.
Pick: Eagles 24, Steelers 17
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo attempt without cost)
This is an enormous sport for each groups. The Packers are coming off a Thursday night time loss on the highway in opposition to the Lions, whereas the Seahawks are dwelling after successful two straight highway video games. The Seattle protection has actually performed effectively as of late, however it is a robust offense to defend. Green Bay’s Jordan Love will get the perfect of that protection. Packers take it.
Pick: Packers 28, Seahawks 24
Bonus: SportsLine professional R.J. White, who’s on a 74-31-2 roll in video games involving Green Bay, is leaning underneath on this pivotal NFC showdown on “Sunday Night Football.” He’s extra assured in a single aspect protecting the unfold, and you may see who he is choosing at SportsLine.
Monday, 8 p.m. ET (ABC, fubo attempt without cost)
The Bears are out on the highway for a second straight week after getting blasted by the 49ers. They did not play effectively. Minnesota is rolling. Sam Darnold is taking part in at a excessive degree, which I believe will proceed right here. The Vikings will throw a ton of seems to be at Caleb Williams, which is able to result in turnovers. It’s ugly.
Pick: Vikings 33, Bears 17
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, fubo attempt without cost)
There is a few uncertainty about Raiders quarterback Aidan O’Connell’s well being right here with a bone bruise. As for the Falcons, Kirk Cousins has been dangerous the previous month and this shall be a tricky spot to bounce again in for him — irrespective of who performs quarterback for the Raiders. I believe the Las Vegas protection will win this for the Raiders.
Pick: Raiders 21, Falcons 20
