I did it.
I did it.
I did it.
I had a profitable week. Finally. It’s a Christmas miracle.
After weeks of horrible choosing, so dangerous I even needed to make enjoyable of myself, I lastly had a profitable week each in opposition to the unfold and straight up.
Whew.
I went 13-3 straight as much as convey my season file to 141-83-0, and I went 11-5 ATS to up that file to 101-119-4. The ATS file is not the place it must be, however just a few extra 11-5 weeks will change that.
I really feel so significantly better now after the profitable week and my confidence is rising. That means I’ll comply with it up with one other big-time week right here with the picks. It’s time to construct some momentum as we head to the postseason.
Let’s go.
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
This is an efficient Thursday evening recreation between two groups that may be within the playoffs proper now. The Chargers have misplaced two straight and didn’t play effectively final week in opposition to the Bucs. They will play higher right here. The protection will restrict Bo Nix and Justin Herbert will hit some well timed throws down the sphere to win it.
Pick: Chargers 24, Broncos 17
Bonus: We can let you know that SportsLine skilled Matt Severance, who’s on a 23-7 roll betting the Broncos, can be leaning beneath for this prime-time matchup. To take a look at which facet he is backing on this huge AFC West showdown, head on over to SportsLine.
Saturday, 1 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo strive without spending a dime)
Patrick Mahomes is hobbled with a high-ankle sprain, however he may play. If he does, it makes issues loads simpler for the Chiefs. But I believe they win this recreation whether or not he performs or not. If it is Carson Wentz, the protection wins it. The Texans simply have not been nice this season. Chiefs get it.
Pick: Chiefs 23, Texans 17
Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
This is a gigantic recreation within the AFC North. The Ravens misplaced to the Steelers earlier this 12 months, however that is the time they get even. Lamar Jackson was restricted by way of manufacturing in that recreation, however he will not be right here. He will get the perfect of the Steelers protection because the Ravens make the division a race.
Pick: Ravens 27, Steelers 20
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Falcons beat the Raiders on Monday evening, however Kirk Cousins did not look good and now he is change into a really costly backup to rookie first-rounder Michael Penix Jr. Look for Atlanta’s offense to indicate some spark — it may’t be a lot worse — whereas the protection will restrict an undermanned Giants offense. Falcons large.
Pick: Falcons 31, Giants 14
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
This is a protracted journey for the Cardinals, who’re coming off a bounce-back victory to snap a shedding streak, They performed higher in that victory over the Patriots. Carolina did not play effectively in shedding to the Cowboys, however I believe it performs higher right here because the offense will get again on observe. Panthers maintain it shut.
Pick: Cardinals 23, Panthers 21
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Lions are decimated by accidents to their protection, which is able to make this a problem. The Bears are driving an eight-game shedding streak and have not performed effectively the previous two weeks. But one thing says they hold round in opposition to that beaten-down Lions protection. Lions win it, however Bears keep shut.
Pick: Lions 28, Bears 24
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Colts are alive within the playoff race — barely. The Titans are carried out and is perhaps making a quarterback change. The Colts did some good issues in shedding to the Broncos final week in a recreation they need to have received. They bounce again right here. Colts take it.
Pick: Colts 24, Titans 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is a protracted journey for the Rams, however they’re taking part in effectively. The Jets are coming off a victory over the Jaguars, and Aaron Rodgers has seemed significantly better the previous two weeks. The Jets protection has points. Look for lots of factors right here because the Jets hold round, however the Rams discover a method.
Pick: Rams 30, Jets 29
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
This is a giant recreation by way of the postseason. The Eagles are driving a 10-game profitable steak, whereas the Commanders have received their final two. The Eagles are coming off a tricky, bodily recreation with the Steelers, which might put on a staff down. Washington wants this recreation extra, and it’ll play out that method.
Pick: Commanders 21, Eagles 20
Bonus: Shoutout to the SportsLine projection mannequin, which additionally has the Commanders +3.5 as a part of its greatest bets parlay. Check out the opposite 4 legs of the parlay at SportsLine.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Bengals nonetheless have some playoff hopes, however they would wish to win out. We know they will rating. The Browns have been having points scoring. Look for Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati passing recreation to maintain scoring loads with the passing recreation once more arising large. Bengals take it.
Pick: Bengals 31, Browns 17
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Seahawks won’t have quarterback Geno Smith on this recreation. If he does play with that injured ankle, he shall be restricted. That issues in opposition to an excellent, aggressive Vikings protection. Sam Darnold will get again on observe after a so-so displaying final week as Minnesota retains pushing to the highest seed.
Pick: Vikings 30, Seahawks 21
Jacksonville Jaguars (+1) at Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is the canine recreation of the week. The loser would possibly find yourself with the primary total choose. That means it is a win to lose. So who’s the winner by shedding? Give me the Raiders. The Jaguars will discover a method to win this recreation behind a strong speeding assault.
Pick: Jaguars 24, Raiders 20
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is a protracted journey for the 49ers as they arrive off a disappointing house loss to the Rams. That was final Thursday, in order that they do get some added relaxation. The Dolphins are off a disappointing loss to the Texans. Tua Tagovailoa did not play effectively and I believe the 49ers protection will restrict him once more. San Francisco takes it.
Pick: 49ers 26, Dolphins 23
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Bills are driving excessive coming off their spectacular victory over the Patriots. Now again house after two street video games, they get a New England staff that is not taking part in effectively. Look for Josh Allen to maintain the MVP push going as he lights up the Patriots.
Pick: Bills 36, Patriots 17
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Bucs are taking part in consecutive street video games, which is not simple. But they’re taking part in their greatest soccer. The Cowboys did some good issues in beating the Panthers final week, however this can be a large step up at school. The Cowboys have not been nice at house, so search for the Bucs to maintain it rolling.
Pick: Buccaneers 27, Cowboys 20
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, fubo strive without spending a dime)
The Saints are with out Derek Carr, which implies it might be Jake Haener once more. Plus, how centered will they be within the chilly of the Green Bay evening? The Packers are pushing to the playoffs and coming off a formidable displaying at Seattle. They maintain it going as Jordan Love has a giant evening.
Pick: Packers 31, Saints 19